Association of Professional Futurists

What sparks could ignite the next great-power conflagration?

Craig Perry has written his seventh installment in our Emerging Fellows program. His entire series explores the potential for another Great-power War. This piece asks about what might ignite the next great-power conflagration. The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of the APF or its other members. America’s great-power rivals are increasingly pursuing strategic ends …

Ugh, Scenarios? That’s Not Very Innovative…

Adam Cowart is one of our Emerging Fellows, and this is his eighth article written for the program. In it, he explores scenarios. The views expressed are not necessarily those of the APF or its members. Previously we have challenged what is truly innovation (depending on how you parse the definition, maybe nothing!), and the challenges of …

Superposition and Frosting a Cake

Adam Cowart is one of our Emerging Fellows, and this is his seventh article written for the program. In it, he compares superposition to innovation. The views expressed are not necessarily those of the APF or its members. We previously challenged what is truly innovative versus sub optimization in some shape or form. We can now delve …

APF CHAIR’S UPDATE – JULY 2018 – Join us in Pittsburgh

Dr. Jay Gary, APF Chair

I have been amazed by the breadth and depth of professional work that APF is doing. You are analyzing technology futures from Amsterdam; charting workforce futures from Seattle, documenting corporate foresight from Denmark, teaching foresight from Monterrey, offering board advice from Mumbai, and analyzing public policy from Ontario. Your membership in APF has never meant …

Redesigning Society for Prosperity

Daniel Riveong has written his fourth installment in our Emerging Fellows program. Here, he explores the evolving concept of prosperity. The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of the APF or its other members. We are at a critical juncture in our understanding of prosperity. We no longer have an unshaken belief that prosperity …

Welcome to Earth, the Sub-Optimized Planet

Adam Cowart is one of our Emerging Fellows, and this is his sixth article written for the program. In it, he explores the potential of sub-optimized ecosystems. The views expressed are not necessarily those of the APF or its members. What role can – or will – innovation play in the future of the real economy? To …

Why aren’t nukes ever enough?

Craig Perry has written his sixth installment in our Emerging Fellows program. His entire series explores the potential for another Great-power War. This piece asks an important question about nukes and their effectiveness as a deterrent. The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of the APF or its other members. For all their destructive …

Do we need new levers to close infrastructure investment gaps?

Daniel Bonin‘s fourth post in our Emerging Fellows program concerns infrastructure investment gaps. The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of the APF or its other members.  Forecasts suggest that infrastructure investment gaps are here to stay, especially when it comes to transportation and electricity. How can we close these gaps by 2050? …

Literacy for the Year 2018

Monica Porteanu has written her fifth installment in our Emerging Fellows program. Here, she explores the evolving meaning of the word literacy. The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of the APF or its other members.  At its origin, the term “literacy” meant “the ability to read and write.” Although it was first recorded …

Morality First, Knowledge Second?

Polina Silakova‘s fifth post in our Emerging Fellows program explores the role of morality and manners amid disruptive technologies. The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of the APF or its other members. If you have ever travelled around Vietnam, you might have noticed at the main entrance of some schools the motto, …